Wednesday, 27 January 2016

Take Blake to shine

The focus will be on Catterick today with the abandonment of Bangor and the staying chase at 1.50 comes under the spotlight here.

Debt to Society is back from a break. Capable from this mark, goes on any ground. Can be moody and has won some very weak races. Latest wins have been in headgear, which is absent today.

Urban Gale has surprised me by winning twice as I thought he wasn't the force of old. Out of his depth though last time and still possibly a bit high in the weights just now.

Thatildee backed up his Hexham win although didn’t seem to quite get home over the longer trip. May not be out of this but does need to improve again.

Veroce didn’t appear to get home under a positive ride at this trip and then found shorter too sharp. This is his level but still unexposed and a more patient ride may see him in better light here.

Auldthunder would have won here off a 4lb lower mark but for falling at the last and then won at Sedge off 2lb higher than today. Definitely stays and weighted to win if they’ve got him back to form. That’s a big guess though.

Over And Above suddenly found consistency last term but his mark has suffered as a result. Has won this race the last two years but is 15lb higher than 12 months ago and 2lb above his last winning mark.

Treliver Manor is being given a chance by the handicapper but he really hasn’t shown enough to warrant support, never really in it on his chase debut last time.

Admiral Blake is by far the most interesting one. Somerset raider was progressive at a very low level before getting injured at the start of last season, taking a year off before running okay in November. Hopefully he’s not had any more issues and they’ve just given him more time. Always considered a chase type, his form is on very soft ground and the beating of Gonalston Cloud catches the eye bearing in mind what that horse has gone on to do. He’s just 2lb above that mark and if he jumps on essentially his first start over fences he could be the one.

Cara Court can be given a chance on his Wetherby form but went backwards again in two runs since and can’t be given a serious chance.

Samson Collonges is just a poor animal and hasn’t really shown much in a very long time.

Tissue; 4 Veroce, 9/2 Thatildee, 13/2 Over And Above, Admiral Blake, 10 Debt To Soc, Urban G, 14 T Manor, Auldthunder, 25 Cara C, Samson.

Conclusion;  Thatildee has been put in very short and is one to take on at that price. Over And Above will have been trained for this but the mark is worrying and last year's race was dire. Admiral Blake is very tempting at 8/1. He's the unknown in the race but shaped very encouragingly last time, and looks a clean jumper of hurdles. Treliver Manor has shown very little ability indeed and yet is the same price. Auldthunder could pop up at a huge price, support would be interesting. Veroce is the solid one, seems to jump and travel well. A patient ride should see him thereabouts and he's worth a saver.

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