Thursday, 21 January 2016

Kassis a tasty proposition

I got stuck into the 2.55 at Market Rasen on Friday early and had my tissue pretty much sorted before prices came up so here's a quick run through of what looks an interesting heat.

Gold Ingot
Back down to a winning mark and not disgraced over too short a trip at Leicester last time when nicely backed. Likely to go well, Lensio an obvious minus.

Hindon Road
Off for two years and hasn't really gone on since returning. Late to chasing and didn't show a great deal on debut in an admittedly warm race at Leicester. Don't like absences and there's a big chance this horse is not what it once was. Needs a PB.

Silver Eagle
Looked fit enough for return from long absence last time and was well supported, but never at the races. Ground was probably soft enough but this will be no better. Quickly dropped 8lb but another that has to prove he can still perform.

Sunny Ledgend
Versatile in terms of trip and ground but can throw in the odd stinker. Won what was probably a weak affair last time and although in form, will need to better that to go in again. Not a likely sort to follow up aged 11.

Father Probus
Looked a nice chase type last time where he was pretty fit after a very long absence. On his winning mark but can he still run to that level? An awful lot to prove.

Kassis
The one real progressive sort in the race. Done precious little wrong and clearly improving as her stamina is drawn out. Appears to jump well with physical scope to improve and not harshly treated by any means.

Sizing Sahara
Two lengthy absences prior to showing little at Fakenham last time - very hard to give any chance to.

Thinger Licht
Much improved for stable and does have form with cut in the ground. Handicapper looks to have his measure now after being reassessed. Absence to overcome but that unlikely to be an issue, however a PB may by required..

Tiny Dancer
Progressive a couple of years back and well handicapped on that form, but 18 months out a huge drawback. Inclined to forgive latest on shocking ground and first time headgear always worth noting.

Tissue; 11/4 Kassis 5 Gold Ingot 6 Sunny Ledgend 6 Thinger Licht 8 Tiny Dancer 12 Hindon Road 14 Silver Eagle 14 Father Probus 33 Sizing Sahara

Conclusion; Kassis is the only one I could be interested in at the right price and at 11/4 or bigger she rates a sound bet. Gold Ingot and Sunny Ledgend look fairly solid without appealing from a win perspective, while amongst those with lengthy absences in their past, Tiny Dancer has perhaps shown the most and could be interesting each-way with a visor added. But they need to bounce back quickly to compete here while Thinger Licht could be under-priced considering his powerful connections.

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